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Decision Workshops

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Note:

General Younis was arrested and assassinated on  his way to trial on 28th July 2011 (9 days after the workshop was held). Although the assassination was not directly predicted at the workshop, the workshop did predict that there would be a power struggle between the members of the NTC with clear winners and losers.

 

General Younis was in reality one of those who lost in the struggle. rather than one who won.

Khalifa Haftar was a loser from the power struggle, but remained on the council

 

Mahmound Shamam gained some power

 

Berber representatives were allowed on the NTC and gained some power. The 10% of power they have is approximately in proportion to the population size.

 

Somewhat suprisingly, altough strongly opposed at first, Saif Gaddafi was eventually allowed onto the council as a non-voting observer.

This was part of the price of maintaining a united Libya and preventing a break away by Fezzan.

 

Fezzan was also relatively well represented on the NTC (10% of the population with 10% of the votes). This was also done to maintain the unity of the country.

Results of changes on options table

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NTC personalities

This shows the changes that happened to the members of the NTC. In general there was a power struggle within with clear winners and losers. There was also a pressure to be more representative.  This resulted in extra members being co-opted to the NTC and a gradual dilution of power away from those holding it at the start.  The details are below (the green square under each card is representative of the approximate percentage of power residing with each individual):

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